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The Trouble For Brendan...

5/12/2014

 
By Robbie Butler

The Official Premier League site is one I visit regularly. It's an excellent resource for those interested in the English Premier League and also provides a link to the the league's official fantasy football site. Fantasy Premier League is great fun and a super way to test your managerial skills against that of your friends and strangers registered on the site. Above all though, the site provides a list of statistics that can be very useful when measuring the performance of a player. 

As you might expect, the top scoring players this year are Sergio Aguero, Alexis Sanchez and Cesc Fabergas. Other high scoring players include Southampton players Nathan Clyne and Graziano Pelle, and Swansea's Gylfi Sigurdsson. 

Not surprisingly, few Liverpool players appear. Only Raheem Sterling can be seen on the list of top players. This (sadly for me) is a far cry from last season when Luiz Saurez, Daniel Sturidge and Steven Gerrard all appeared regularly on the weekly Dream Team. A closer look at the eight new Liverpool signings that are available on Fantasy Premier League will explain Liverpool's sluggish performance this year. I present three illustrates. The first two show the fictitious value Fantasy Premier League places on each player, broken into two sets; defensive players and attacking players over the course of the season so far.  
Picture
Picture
To a man, each of the eight signings have seen their value decline over the course of the past three months. It would appear all eight are under-performing or were over-valued to begin with. Whichever you prefer.

The third illustrates the net transfer of each of the eight players, on a weekly basis, over the thirteen Premier League games. Assuming the wisdom of crowds theory holds, one would expect that users would be very adept at picking the 'in-form' players. Since the beginning of the season there has been a marked move away from some of the eight new signings. The graph below attempts to illustrate this.
Picture
Balotelli's arrival sparked interested with lots of users signing the Italian striker. Following Liverpool's 3-0 over Spurs in August users opted to sign both Moreno and more opted for Balotelli in the week that followed. However, since then there has been a dramatic shift away from the players, particularly Dejan Lovern.   

These results were complied before Tuesday night's win over Leicester but it is interesting to note that of the eight players Roger's signed less than half started the game. 

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