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Pro 12 Could be the Big Winner in New Rugby Champions Cup

10/5/2014

3 Comments

 
by Declan Jordan
Picture
This is the final season of the Heineken Cup - a competition very close to Irish rugby hearts. Irish clubs have won the title 6 times in its 18 year history. In fact Irish, English and French clubs have won the trophy 6 times and this year's final between Saracens and Toulon will decide which country will emerge as the most successful over the history of the tournament.

Following months (and probably years) of difficult negotiations a new tournament - The European Rugby Champions Cup has emerged. A key driver for a new tournament has been the perceived unfairness of qualification through the Pro 12 that has allowed the Celtic nations to mind their players for the Heineken Cup because of the absence of competition in their 'domestic' league. In a post back in November last year I presented evidence of the lower playing load enjoyed by Pro 12 stars compared with their English and French counterparts.

It appears next season the losers will be Scottish, Welsh and Italian clubs. Wales was guaranteed three clubs in the Heineken Cup (out of 4 teams in the Pro 12). Both of the Scottish clubs in the Pro 12 were guaranteed a place. Both Italian clubs were guaranteed entry also. Three of the four Irish teams were guaranteed entry. Based on the current standings it now looks like there will be 3 Irish teams (Munster, Leinster and Ulster), one Scottish team (Glasgow), two Welsh teams (Ospreys and Scarletts) and one Italian team (currently Zebre). The teams that would have qualified but now won't are Cardiff, Edinburgh and Treviso.

This of course is a snapshot as the affected clubs will change each year. The big winner may well be the Pro 12 as a whole. While they lose places at the top table of European rugby the league now becomes fiercely competitive. There cannot a case where clubs would field 'weakened' teams in the Pro 12 as they were comfortably placed to get through for the Heineken Cup the following season. Instead of competing to finish above at least one of the other clubs from your country, Irish, Welsh and Scottish clubs now have to compete with the entire league to win European places, and the money associated with that. This is the position that English and French clubs have always faced. It means there are likely to be much fewer dead rubbers in the Pro 12 next year. If you agree that competition improves standards, quality and attendances then the Pro 12 can expect a fillip.

3 Comments
Matthew
10/5/2014 03:51:46 am

Some great points made. However I don't think the pro12 will be as competitive as the English or French leagues, even with these changes. In behavioural economics, we learn how people hate losses almost twice as much as they enjoy gains. The primary motivation in the top14 or the premiership is fear of relegation. As long as the pro12 remains relegation free, it's very hard to see it being as competitive as the top14/premiership.

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Declan Jordan
10/5/2014 05:24:58 am

Thanks for your comment Matthew. I agree fully with you. The Pro12 is not part of a 'pyramid' structure that is seen in most national sports leagues. And the threat of relegation is very much a driver of competition - just as success is. This is of course partly a function of its structure as a league across nations. Each country wants their clubs in a more competitive league (compared to what they would face in a purely national league) while at the same time none would want the risk of falling out of that league. The Pro 12 is more of a US franchise model

Reply
Declan Jordan
10/5/2014 05:28:48 am

@matthew Sorry, my reply posted too early. Meant to finish by saying that the Pro12 - with a franchise model - can't be as competitive as the Premiership or Top 14 without relegation. But it can certainly be more competitive than it is now. I can't find the reference right now but I am fairly sure Ronan O'Gara in his most recent authobiography referred to the Pro 12 as a good place to blood younger players. Hardly a ringing endorsement of the competitiveness of the league.

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