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The Difficult Job Of Management

18/5/2016

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By Robbie Butler

When Everton capitulated last week against Sunderland, not only did it send Newcastle United and Norwich into the Championship, it also cost Roberto Martinez his job. Very few football fans, and hardly any of those supporting Everton, will have much sympathy for the Spaniard. Sadly for him, he now joins the more than 1.7 million people in the UK seeking work.

While Everton's performances of late have been poor, Sky Sports News rightly point out that Martinez "secured the club its highest ever Premier League points total, a place in the last 16 of the Europa League and appearances in both domestic cup semi-finals".

The League Managers Association chief Richard Beven recently described the last nine months as an "embarrassing season for the sport". This comment was in reference to the 54 managerial sackings during the 2015-2016 season in the top four tiers of English football. Surviving as a manager in the Premier League is becoming much harder it seems. The scatter plot below provides evidence of this. 
The illustration plots each of the near 300 managers to take charge of a Premier League club since 1992 (x-axis) and the number of days in the job (y-axis).

​The outlier at the top left of the graph represents Arsene Wenger's more than 7,100 days (and counting) as manager of Arsenal. 

Two points are worth noting. Firstly, the downward trend line. Managers are lasting less time in the job than previous years. 
Picture
Secondly, the extremely crowded area at the bottom right of the scatter plot. One has to go back to August 2006 to find a manager appointed since this date to last more than 2,000 days in the job (approx 5 and a half seasons). Since the start of the 2006 season the average length of stay for a Premier League manager has been just over 400 days. With further causalities expected in the weeks ahead, this figure may fall below 400 days very soon.

​So if your club gets a new manager any time soon, don't expect anything long term. The days of an Arsene Wenger appear to be behind us. 
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