Beat The Bookies - Week 2

By Ed Valentine,

A tough opening weekend for the account with Liverpool, who were heavily tipped to cruise to victory against newly promoted Fulham, costing the book €20 in losses. The net position is -€7.50 going into match day 2. The return of La Liga and Serie A on Saturday will bring opportunity across the dominant top clubs and indeed Roma and Real Madrid are included below. 
 
Gambler’s fallacy may be at play with Liverpool being selected for the second week in a row. The reds must win this weekend, surely? It harkens back to a previous iteration of this project where Chelsea had a poor first half of the season and cost the pot €100s. That shouldn’t happen again should it?
 
Recap of Week 1
Clermont vs PSG  - PSG to win @1.40
€20 potential returns €28 WON NET €8
 
Fulham vs LIVERPOOL - LIVERPOOL to win @1.36
€10 potential returns €13.60 LOST €10
 
Fulham 0 goals exact goals @2.10
€10 potential returns €21 LOST €10
 
Everton vs CHELSEA - Both teams to receive a card @1.45
€10 potential returns €14.50 WON NET £4.50
 
Week 1 overall outcome 
Total outlay €50
Total income €42.50
Net position - £7.50 -15%
 
Week 2 selections are as follows:
 
Real to win 1.45 vs Almeria €20 Potential returns €29
Liverpool to win 1.30 vs Crystal Palace €10 Potential returns €13
Roma to win 1.55 vs Salernitana €10 Potential returns €15.50
Bayern to win 1.15 vs Wolfsburg €10 Potential returns €11.5
 
Week 2 potential returns €69