The narrative on winning the Premier League is interesting to observe. The ease with which Liverpool will probably win the Premier League has made others question both the team and the league.
It has been fascinating to observe – as the week has passed – what others perceived Liverpool “needed” to win the league. “Liverpool need 5 more wins.” “Liverpool need 4 more wins.” “Liverpool need 3 more wins.” And so on. Now it is “Liverpool need 1 more win.”
The reality, of course, is that this was never true. Liverpool didn’t need to do anything; others did. They are the ones that are chasing. Liverpool could have lost all their remaining games – they still could – and win the league. When you are 8, 9 or 10 points ahead, as was often the case, it is up to others to win 3 games or more to catch the leaders.
As we hit this weekend we will hear “Liverpool need 1 more win.” This is not true. What I assume those saying this mean is that “Liverpool need 1 more win” to guarantee the title. This is also untrue. Liverpool are 13 points clear of Arsenal. Arsenal can get a maximum of 15 more points. Assuming Liverpool need to get 3 more points assumes that Arsenal can only get 15 more, and therefore a win guarantees the title.
This ignores the fact that Liverpool and Arsenal must play each other. Therefore, Liverpool can guarantee winning the league with just 80 points – one more point – assuming that point comes against Arsenal.
80, of course, would be a relatively low winning amount. Leicester won the league on 81 points. However, Manchester United have been crowned champions in the 70–79 point bracket. The winners this season will be somewhere in the mid-to-high 80s, I predict. They may even reach or break 90 points. If they do, Liverpool will surpass the totals of Manchester City in 2 of the past 4 seasons. Arguably the greatest team in the history of English football – 4 league titles in a row – two of which could be lower points totals than Liverpool 2024/25.