The Economics of Sport
  • Sports Economics
  • About
  • Workshop
  • Selected Publications
  • Book Reviews
  • A Primer on Gaelic Games
  • Upcoming Events
  • Media
  • Education
  • Resources & Links

Tour De France 2026 and the Triple T.

3/7/2026

 
By John Considine
A popular introductory economics textbook begins by identifying three principles of economics.  One of those principles is equilibrium and the textbook uses the free rider problem to illustrate the principle.  The free rider problem arises when there is not a clear link between individual effort and individual reward.  The free rider is one who seeks to gain without contributing to the production process.  Self-interest suggests that in particular circumstances individual will free ride.  When everyone attempts to free ride then the product is not delivered.

One of my favourite approximations to the economics version of the free rider problem comes from a similar situation in cycling.  The cyclist Rui Costa has a reputation for using the free rider strategy.  As a result, others tend to avoid breakawys from the peloton involving Rui Costa.  However, it sometime happens that he gets into a breakaway and successful employs the strategy for himself.  A good example being a stage of the Vuelta from three years ago (YouTube video here).  Costa was one of three riders who cooperated to break away from the peloton.  As is normal, cooperation broke down as they approached the finish line.  Cooperation turns into competition (a 2019 Journal of Economic Psychology describes it as "friends for almost a day").  The other riders knew of Costa's reputation as a free rider.  Try as they might, they failed to counteract it.

Aligning individual effort and reward can be difficult in a team setting.  In this post, I want to focus on a different example of the relationship between individual effort and reward.  Rather than looking at a regular road stage in one of the Grand Tours, I want to look at the team time trial.  Even here there are variations that have important implications for individual effort and team cohesion.  The 2026 edition of the Tour De France begins with a team time trial.  However, the organisers have changed the reward structure from that used in recent years.

Previously, all members of the team received the time of the fourth placed rider from that team to cross the line.  Therefore, the gap between the first rider to cross the line and the fourth rider to cross the line was minimal.  Beyond the fourth rider the gaps tended to increase.  Many teams decided that they did not need their fifth, sixth, seventh, and eight riders to finish anywhere need the fourth rider.  It might be inefficient to have anything left in the tank of the fifth rider.  Therefore, some riders burnt themselves out like booster rockets.  As all the members of the team got the same time then such a strategy made some sense.

Tomorrow, around the roads of Barcelona, the rewards are different.  Each cyclist will get the time at which they cross the line.  It should make a difference to the distribution of times by individual team members.  It is unlikely that we will see the first four riders from teams finish as a group.  Those teams devoted purely to getting their team leader to cross the line as quickly as possible might burn up all riders but the leader.  Only the General Classification riders and those seeking the young riders jerseys are primarily focused on time.  Those teams with riders targetting stage wins or those riders playing the role of domestiques might continue to sacrifice themselves for a team leader.  It is hard to see any team with four riders who are attempting to minimise their time over the 21 day stages and 3,333kms.

Therefore, we can expect a wider dististribution of times for riders than previously.  Those distributions will reveal the preferences of the individual teams.  There will be a wider dispersion for teams focused purely on General Classification.  ​It will be interesting to see how this experiment with the team time trial works (it has been used in other races).  From Sunday it will be back to the more regular road race stages (with the exception of the individual time trial on Stage 16).

Comments are closed.

    Archives

    July 2026
    June 2026
    May 2026
    April 2026
    March 2026
    February 2026
    January 2026
    December 2025
    November 2025
    October 2025
    September 2025
    August 2025
    July 2025
    June 2025
    May 2025
    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    March 2014
    February 2014
    January 2014
    December 2013
    November 2013
    October 2013
    September 2013
    August 2013
    July 2013

    About

    This website was founded in July 2013.

    RSS Feed

    Categories

    All
    American Football
    Athletics
    Baseball
    Basketball
    Behavioural Economics
    Boxing
    Broadcasting
    Competitive Balance
    Cricket
    Cycling
    Darts
    David Butler
    Declan Jordan
    Drugs
    Ed Valentine
    Epl
    Esports
    Expenditure
    F1
    Fifa World Cup
    Finances
    Funding
    Gaa
    Gaelic Games
    Gambling
    Game Theory
    Gary Burns
    Geography
    Golf
    Greyhound Racing
    Guest Posts
    Horse Racing
    Impact Studies
    John Considine
    John Eakins
    League Of Ireland
    Location
    Media
    Mls
    Mma
    Olympics
    Participation
    Paul O'Sullivan
    Premier League
    Regulation
    Research
    Robbie Butler
    Rugby
    Simpsonomics
    Snooker
    Soccer
    Spatial Analysis
    Sporting Bodies
    Stephen Brosnan
    Swimming
    Taxation
    Teaching
    Technology
    Tennis
    Transfers
    Uefa
    Ufc
    World Cup
    Wwe

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.