By Sean O'Connor
The Poisson distribution, named after the French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson, is a calculation method utilised in probability theory and statistics to express the likelihood of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space
On the page Premier League Predictions and The Poisson Distribution I use a simple Poisson distribution to predict Premier League results. The predictions for game week 9 is available on this section of the website. For the early kick off the model predicts Tottenham have a 53% chance of beating Bournemouth at the weekend. Moreover, the predicted result is the scoreline with the greatest probability of occurring (0-1).
Prior to each gameweek I will post probability scores generated by the model for all Premier League games and provide a brief commentary on the success rate of the previous week’s predictions.
The Poisson distribution, named after the French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson, is a calculation method utilised in probability theory and statistics to express the likelihood of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space
On the page Premier League Predictions and The Poisson Distribution I use a simple Poisson distribution to predict Premier League results. The predictions for game week 9 is available on this section of the website. For the early kick off the model predicts Tottenham have a 53% chance of beating Bournemouth at the weekend. Moreover, the predicted result is the scoreline with the greatest probability of occurring (0-1).
Prior to each gameweek I will post probability scores generated by the model for all Premier League games and provide a brief commentary on the success rate of the previous week’s predictions.
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